Tweets Analysis - Keyword: @PredictIt
Overview
Total number of tweets analysed
38
Earliest tweet was on
2023-03-21
Latest tweet was on
2023-03-29
Tweets covering
8 days
Average age of authors' accounts
4 years
Summarization
There is a lawsuit between PredictIt and the CFTC, with experts stating that CFTC has a strong case. PredictIt may need to do some significant reforming. There is uncertainty about the future of PredictIt and whether it will continue under the Biden administration. Traders are recommended to wait until the legal case is resolved before withdrawing money from PredictIt. There is a call for PredictIt to improve communications with traders and eliminate the withdrawal fee. There is speculation about firing JPow and other political events on PredictIt. Trump and DeSantis are popular on PredictIt for the GOP nomination.
Topic Modeling
- Lawsuit against PredictIt by CFTC
- Market reactions and predictions
- Calls for reform and guidance from PredictIt
- Criticisms towards PredictIt's communication and credibility
- Political events and predictions on PredictIt
Emotional Analysis
The tweets express a range of emotions surrounding the legal case between PredictIt and the CFTC, including concern about the future of the political prediction market, criticism of PredictIt's communication with traders, and speculation on potential outcomes. Some individuals express a willingness to continue using PredictIt despite the legal uncertainty, while others express frustration with the situation. Overall, there is a sense of uncertainty and controversy surrounding PredictIt and its future.
Trend Analysis
- @CFTC lawsuit against @PredictIt
- Impact of @CFTC actions on @PredictIt markets
- Reform and potential closure of @PredictIt markets
- Traders' reactions and recommendations regarding @PredictIt
- Political predictions on @PredictIt
Types of Tweets
Number of Retweets
11
Percentage of total tweets
28%
Number of Original tweets
13
Percentage of total tweets
34%
Number of tweets that contain Mentions
38
Percentage of total tweets
100%
Number of tweets that were Replies
12
Percentage of total tweets
31%
Number of tweets that were Quotes
2
Percentage of total tweets
5%
Number of tweets that contain Hashtags
2
Percentage of total tweets
5%
Top 5 devices used to tweet
| Source | Count |
|---|---|
| Twitter Web App | 17 |
| Twitter for iPhone | 10 |
| Hootsuite Inc. | 7 |
| TweetDeck | 2 |
| Twitter for Android | 2 |
What devices were used to tweet
Top 10 accounts with highest followers count
| Username | Name | Bio | Followers count |
|---|---|---|---|
| InsightForecast | Insight Prediction Forecasts | Insight Prediction is a new low fee sports & political props prediction exchange, created by academics. https://t.co/visyXkjh9J | 23,729 |
| TAtheDog | The Dog 🐶 | The unofficial mayor of $SPX my avatar is a dog because they're the smartest animals ;) 💪❤️🔥🤑 @theoryaffinity #FinTech #FinTwit $ES $NQ $SPY $QQQ #STOCKS | 10,523 |
| BolognaFishMD | Bologna Fish, M.D. | violence violence violence violence violence despair https://t.co/A55w7SRQsw | 1,453 |
| pjchougule | Pratik Chougule | Author of book American Universities in the Middle East and U.S Foreign Policy. Political gambling commentary at @SSGamblers. | 1,411 |
| GLTReview | GLTR | The Georgetown Law Technology Review; devoted to tech, law & policy at @georgetownlaw. Send submissions to gltr-submissions@georgetown.edu. | 1,340 |
| CasinoOrgSteveB | Steve Bittenbender | Cover horse racing and sports betting for @Casino_Org. My other tweets can be found at @freelancehack. RTs aren't endorsements | 1,058 |
| SSGamblers | Star Spangled Gamblers | A podcast on betting and winning real money on politics. | 769 |
| GumbyPI | GumbyPI🌐 | Above Average https://t.co/vSHhm1xRQm Trader. Followed by three 538 banned pollsters. Parody of Gumby | 438 |
| Bob69Barker420 | Bob Barker | Hero dog and game show host. I play prediction markets. Started on PredictIt. I fuqing love Kalshi. | 378 |
| entirelyuseles | entirelyuseless | - | 303 |
Top 10 accounts with highest friends count
| Username | Name | Bio | Followers count |
|---|---|---|---|
| pjchougule | Pratik Chougule | Author of book American Universities in the Middle East and U.S Foreign Policy. Political gambling commentary at @SSGamblers. | 5,001 |
| BolognaFishMD | Bologna Fish, M.D. | violence violence violence violence violence despair https://t.co/A55w7SRQsw | 4,980 |
| InsightForecast | Insight Prediction Forecasts | Insight Prediction is a new low fee sports & political props prediction exchange, created by academics. https://t.co/visyXkjh9J | 1,974 |
| hole_ghost | A-hole Ghost | Ghost of an A-hole who predicts things. | 1,144 |
| GLTReview | GLTR | The Georgetown Law Technology Review; devoted to tech, law & policy at @georgetownlaw. Send submissions to gltr-submissions@georgetown.edu. | 790 |
| digital_monad | Jalil Farid (Parody of Parody) | Decentralized Finance. Ethereum. Math. Physics. Coding. Retweets *are* endorsements. If you want to fire me for some of my ideas, please don't try to hire me. | 677 |
| GumbyPI | GumbyPI🌐 | Above Average https://t.co/vSHhm1xRQm Trader. Followed by three 538 banned pollsters. Parody of Gumby | 651 |
| CasinoOrgSteveB | Steve Bittenbender | Cover horse racing and sports betting for @Casino_Org. My other tweets can be found at @freelancehack. RTs aren't endorsements | 608 |
| AaronYoung502 | Aaron Young | - | 597 |
| entirelyuseles | entirelyuseless | - | 540 |
Most active users
| Username | Bio | Number of tweets |
|---|---|---|
| SSGamblers | A podcast on betting and winning real money on politics. | 12 |
| pjchougule | Author of book American Universities in the Middle East and U.S Foreign Policy. Political gambling commentary at @SSGamblers. | 8 |
| TAtheDog | The unofficial mayor of $SPX my avatar is a dog because they're the smartest animals ;) 💪❤️🔥🤑 @theoryaffinity #FinTech #FinTwit $ES $NQ $SPY $QQQ #STOCKS | 2 |
| NobleNothing | - | 1 |
| hole_ghost | Ghost of an A-hole who predicts things. | 1 |
| entirelyuseles | - | 1 |
| digital_monad | Decentralized Finance. Ethereum. Math. Physics. Coding. Retweets *are* endorsements. If you want to fire me for some of my ideas, please don't try to hire me. | 1 |
| andykutansky | Sports fan, bike rider, and civil engineer. | 1 |
| TweedGentleman | - | 1 |
| 4DaM3m3z | Panic bells, it's red alert There's something here from somewhere else The war machine springs to life Opens up one eager eye Focusing it on the sky - Nena | 1 |
Tweets per day
Top 10 tweets with highest Retweet count
| ID | Text | Retweet count |
|---|---|---|
| 1640096355648512001 | “The easiest gesture @PredictIt could make right now—which I think would serve their interest—would be to lower if not eliminate the withdrawal fee.” — @pjchougule https://t.co/zpb1dEcV2i | 2 |
| 1640827389914542086 | “The totality of the argument that @CFTC makes against @PredictIt is not even remotely surprising and it’s a pretty strong case.” — @pjchougule https://t.co/WG87eQ7bun | 2 |
| 1639732145714343936 | New Episode @CasinoOrgSteveB and @pjchougule do a deep dive into @CFTC's case against @PredictIt. They discuss what the new filings before the 5th Circuit mean for political gambling and how to profit off the case on @PolymarketHQ. https://t.co/zpb1dEcV2i | 2 |
| 1640042219187982339 | “Although @PredictIt has been very vocal in asking traders to weigh in on their behalf, they have not even today provided any guidance whatsoever on how exactly they would wind down these markets if the lawsuit goes against them.” — @pjchougule https://t.co/zpb1dEcV2i | 2 |
| 1641116806659166209 | “The fact that many of the most knowledgeable people about political gambling did decide that they don’t want to risk it—that many of them did withdraw money after the midterms—speaks to a credibility gap @PredictIt has with its users.” — @pjchougule https://t.co/zpb1dEcV2i | 1 |
| 1639637492285448192 | @pjchougule @PredictIt I mean, just look at this. The men who take our money for fees went out a find a school nobody’s ever heard of just to cover up the reality of it all. This isn’t some professor’s work: https://t.co/7i1QH0D0M2 | 1 |
| 1640871156784803842 | @hole_ghost @PredictIt FYI, you can buy Trump "No" much more cheaply and at volume on Insight Prediction. https://t.co/RrVQecbQ6M | 1 |
| 1639318793859088414 | The @CFTC recently shut down @PredictIt, the only political prediction market (PPM) platform in the US, and is banning PPMs from regulated exchanges. Read Kevin Brett's take on why it is in the public interest to allow PPMs, and his call for reform: https://t.co/3IEllUsbHC | 1 |
| 1638211561159270403 | "I think that traders overreacted...for the time being until...the legal case really has exhausted itself, I see no real reason to withdraw any money on here – unless you want to anyway. So, I have not withdrawn my money, and I urge anyone on @PredictIt to stay with it.” | 1 |
| 1640773610162749442 | Trump headed to a 4k wall at 47c @Predictit, DeSantis to 36c. #GOPnom https://t.co/tD8gpfyRYQ | 1 |
Top 10 tweets with highest Like count
| ID | Text | Like count |
|---|---|---|
| 1640737600691470336 | I was quoted in a report by @thegamblingnews about @PredictIt’s lawsuit against @CFTC. Excerpts below: | 8 |
| 1640827389914542086 | “The totality of the argument that @CFTC makes against @PredictIt is not even remotely surprising and it’s a pretty strong case.” — @pjchougule https://t.co/WG87eQ7bun | 5 |
| 1639769167095013377 | “@CFTC does have a legitimate case here. The best-case opportunity is @PredictIt is in trouble and has to do some heavy reforming. But I think that is the best of best case scenarios and probably not likely to happen.” — @CasinoOrgSteveB https://t.co/zpb1dEcV2i | 3 |
| 1638637912098230274 | Is there are 0DTE @PredictIt for firing JPow? https://t.co/783VUlHSw9 | 3 |
| 1638211555954245634 | @CasinoOrgSteveB interviewed me on how @CFTC actions have affected @PredictIt markets for a report in @Casino_Org. https://t.co/bePKzWL9rw Excerpts below: | 3 |
| 1640398591360397312 | “Until the legal case has exhausted itself, I see no real reason to withdraw any money from @PredictIt—unless you want to anyway.” — @pjchougule https://t.co/zpb1dEcV2i | 2 |
| 1640096355648512001 | “The easiest gesture @PredictIt could make right now—which I think would serve their interest—would be to lower if not eliminate the withdrawal fee.” — @pjchougule https://t.co/zpb1dEcV2i | 2 |
| 1639732145714343936 | New Episode @CasinoOrgSteveB and @pjchougule do a deep dive into @CFTC's case against @PredictIt. They discuss what the new filings before the 5th Circuit mean for political gambling and how to profit off the case on @PolymarketHQ. https://t.co/zpb1dEcV2i | 2 |
| 1639318793859088414 | The @CFTC recently shut down @PredictIt, the only political prediction market (PPM) platform in the US, and is banning PPMs from regulated exchanges. Read Kevin Brett's take on why it is in the public interest to allow PPMs, and his call for reform: https://t.co/3IEllUsbHC | 1 |
| 1638640102799818752 | Is there a 0DTE @PredictIt for firing JPow? 🤑 https://t.co/783VUlHkGB | 1 |
Top 3 Languages Used In Tweets
Top 10 Hashtags used
| Hashtag | Count |
|---|---|
| #gopnom | 2 |
Top 10 Hashtags Used In Tweets
Top 10 mentions
| Mention | Count |
|---|---|
| @predictit | 38 |
| @pjchougule | 16 |
| @cftc | 10 |
| @ssgamblers | 6 |
| @casinoorgsteveb | 5 |
| @hole_ghost | 3 |
| @polymarkethq | 2 |
| @tathedog | 2 |
| @insightforecast | 1 |
| @aaronyoung502 | 1 |
Top 10 mentions
Wordcloud of Tweets
Emojis
Average number of emojis used per tweet
2
Emojis used in tweets
| Emoji | Count | Emoji Text |
|---|---|---|
| 🤑 | 1 | money-mouth_face |
Emojis groups
| Emoji Group | Count |
|---|---|
| Smileys & Emotion | 1 |